
PAST
In 2002 the Realtors in Big Bear sold 911 pieces of property and the Real Estate boom was off and running. In two years, the sale of property in Big Bear jumped from 911 units to 1913 units. By 2007, the number of units sold dropped to 797.
In that time span, everyone was getting a loan. Loans ranged from conventional loans where the buyer was putting 20% down to loans that would allow the buyer to finance 100% of the mortgage. Some buyers preferred a 30 year note with a fixed rate. Others were using Adjustable Rate Mortgage's, (ARM). These loans were structures so the buyer would start off with a low interest rate for 3-5 years. After the 3-5 years, the mortgage would reset and you would be paying a much higher rate. At that time, the average turn over on homes in Big Bear was every eighteen months. The home owner would hold on to the cabin for a year to eighteen months, sell the cabin and turn around and buy a nicer cabin with the appreciation. Another loan that we saw was the interest only loan. In these loans, the buyer would pay interest only for 3 to 5 years. Like the ARM, after the 3 to 5 years had passed, the mortgage reset to a much higher rate.
What happened when all of these ARM's matured and reset? So many people who bought in that time frame used the ARM because it gave them the lowest house payment. As it turned out, many of these people could not afford the increase in the house payment once the mortgage reset. Many home owners either didn't think about how the reset would affect them,or they planned to refinance the mortgage before the time came for the reset. Unfortunalty, when these home owners went to the bank to refinance the home, they quickly found out that they now owed more on their home than it was worth! This took away from them the only option that they really had. Now they had to figure out how tomake their house payment. Here is a good example of how this reset can affect the home owner.
A typical borrower who took out a 2/28 mortgage in 2004 or 2005 has been paying an average interest rate of 7.6% for the first two years. Once that introductory period ends, the interest rate is reset every six months for the remaining 28 years of the loan at a margin over an index. When they do adjust, these loans typically limit the first interest rate increase to around three percentage points. That would bring the monthly rate to 10.1%. Monthly payments for a borrower with a loan of about $150,000 would rise to about $1,315 from $1,000. Assuming interest rates stay around current levels, the rate would jump again to about 11% within six months to a year, bringing the monthly payment to $1,400, or 40% higher than the initial payment.
By 2007, the sale of homes in Big Bear dropped 60% from 2004. We went from a high of 1913 homes sold down to 797 in 2007.
Present
Let's fast forward to the present and take a look at the changes that have taken place in the Big Bear Real Estate market.
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Inventory is high. In the past, the number of homes on the market going into winter is much lower than the 1175 homes currently listed.
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Many of the homes on the market in Big Bear are REO's (Bank Owned Properties) We have seen that the banks list their homes at much lower prices than the competition. In many cases, the REO stands out as being the best deal on the market. It is very hard for the home owner to sell his home unless he is prepared to compete with the bank owned, REO properties.
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There is no such thing as 100% financing or loans with only 5 percent down.

Mortgages are much harder to get in today's market than in the past. Lenders are requiring more down payments and higher credit scores.
I'm a first time buyer. Does this mean that I can't get a mortgage?
If you are a first time buyer and want to buy your home, the first thing I would suggest is to speak to a lender. There are many loan programs are available and a good lender is going to be able to advise you on what is best for you. You also need to know how much you qualify for. There is no sense looking at homes in the $300,000.00 range if you're only approved for $150,000.00. Ask the lender to "PRE APPROVE" you. The lender might tell you that they can give you a Pre Qualify letter. In today's market, with so many homes being REO's, you will find that the"PRE APPROVAL" Letter will make for a much stronger offer.
Let's say that you have found a home in Big Bear that you want to buy and you find out that it is a REO. Do you use your friend who is a Realtor in Newport Beach to represent you? You're best bet is to speak to a qualified Realtor who represents the Big Bea area. The local agent is going to know if you are paying to much for the house. They know the area and know what is a good deal and what is over priced. Once you are in escrow, the local Realtor is going to be able to recommend a good home inspector who is familiar with issues relating to mountain homes.
I had a client come in today to see me and he was surprised to see how many homes we sold this month. With all of the negative news regarding the financial markets, he was shocked to see that we are still selling Real Estate and closing escrows. If you are looking to buy Real Estate in today's market, you will succeed as long as you have the following: 1) 20% of the purchase price for a down payment, 2) 3% of the down payment available now for the good faith deposit, 3) Fico scores at 720 or better.
If you have any questions about how the mortgage crisis has affected your ability to buy a Big Bear cabin, give me a call at 909 229-5326 or send me a email at tony@tonycard.com


I chose to write this blog because of an issue that has come up in one of my escrows. I really didn't give this any thought, until I heard another agent in our office having the same issue. As it appears that this is not a isolated incident, I felt it was worth discussing in my REO Blog.
her competition is. Who is she going to have to compete with in order to be successful in the sale of her home? Off hand, you would think that the competition is going to be the other home owners who are also trying to sell their homes. To a degree that is true but her real competition, the properties that she needs to really focus in on are the REO or bank owned properties. You ask why? According to Data Quick, 46% of the homes that sold in California last month were REO's. Quite simply, the bank owned properties are being listed for sale at very attractive prices. The result being, the REO's are selling very quickly. So, in today's market, you need to take a good look at the REO properties when pricing any home that you are placing on the market. That is your competition.
I was out today looking at REO properties and the one thing I walked away with after my previewing is that the banks are giving these homes away. One REO I was in today last sold in 2005 for $349,000.00 and is now listed for $300,000.00. The property was in a great neighborhood and was very clean. (Not your typical bank owned) Who ever buys that home is going to do very well. I then went and previewed another home that had just listed today. It was a smaller cabin that was situated near the national forest. I believe it was a 2 bedroom, 1 bath cabin with 760 square feet of living space. The last time that cabin sold, it went for $189,000.00. The bank listed it for only $129,000.00
are all looking for the deal. It doesn't matter how good a deal the house is based off the asking price, they still want to push the envelope and try to get more. Sometimes this tactic works and other times it doesn't. Just a few weeks ago a property listed in Sugarloaf that was a fantastic deal at the listed price. I called my client and told him about it and after reviewing photos and video that I took of the place, he instructed me to write the offer. Now, this guy has been looking at property for quite some time and knew that this cabin was already a good deal, yet against my advice, he chose to squeeze the bank for even more concessions. I asked him to think about the offer and to reconsider his position. He refused and told me to present the offer. Consequently, he lost the deal and he is still kicking himself for, as he put it, being so cheap.
You're mortgage has just reset and you can no longer afford to keep your Big Bear cabin. 

market. In the past, most home owners had a tremendous amount of equity in their homes. Things would come up and they pulled the money out for one reason or another. Many of them are now in a situation where they owe much more on their home than it is worth in the current market. But just because you owe more on the home than it is worth, that alone does NOT automatically qualify you to short sale your home.


You can get to the deck from either two of the bedrooms or the living room. The deck gets plenty of sun and is a great place to enjoy the mountain air. The deck is completely enclosed with hand rails so you won't have to worry about the little kids falling off the deck or wondering off.
